The Jewish Vote in 2004: An Analysis - A Solomon Project White Paper

By Mark S. Mellman, Aaron Strauss, Anna Greenberg, Patrick McCreesh, Kenneth D. Wald

The Solomon Project, April 12, 2005

Never before has so much attention been lavished on predicting Jewish voting patterns prior to a presidential election. This report is unprecedented in that it brings together in one document multiple sets of data on Jewish presidential voting. In past presidential years, most of this data has been unavailable for analysis.

  • The best estimate of the two-party Jewish vote in 2004 is Senator John Kerry: 78%, President George Bush: 22%
  • The Jewish two-party vote in 2004 was 29% more Democratic than the national two-party vote. This number has been remarkably stable over the last three presidential elections.
  • A large majority (from 65% to 74%) of American Jews identify as Democrats.
  • Jewish Americans overwhelmingly identify themselves as liberal (up to 40%). Somewhere between 13-18% of Jews identify themselves as conservative.
  • There was a significant gender gap among Jewish voters in November 2004. Though Jewish men voted for Kerry 70-28% (a 42% margin), Jewish women voted for Kerry 82-16% (a 66% margin).

Topic: Political Behavior, Elections, Voting Patterns, Politics

Genre: Report

Coverage: United States

Language: English

Copyright Holder: Publisher

Copyright Information: Download for personal use, freely distribute link

Bibliographic Information:
Mellman, Mark S. Strauss, Aaron. Greenberg, Anna. McCreesh, Patrick. Wald, Kenneth D. The Jewish Vote in 2004: An Analysis - A Solomon Project White Paper. The Solomon Project. 12 April 2005: http://www.bjpa.org/Publications/details.cfm?PublicationID=14235


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